ข่าวแจ้งตลาดหลักทรัพย์
) MD&A Q3/2009
high proportion of fuel oil production of which the price is always lower than
crude price, the Company's gross refining margin was capped to a certain level
depending on the fuel oil price. Thus, the Company has to attain the long-term
resolution for converting fuel oil production to more value added product to
enhance gross refining margin to be at the same level of the industry's.
Therefore, the Company has adopted the Product Quality Improvement project
(PQI) by installing the hydro-cracking unit as well as other associated units;
these will reduce proportion of fuel oil production to the near level of other
local and foreign refineries, and hence become a complex refinery. The Company
expects that the project will consequently result increasing in EBITDA from
average Baht 2,000-4,000 million per year to approximately Baht 6,000-8,000
million after its completion which is subjected to oil price. The project cost
(included contingency reserve) is the total of Baht 15,369 million or
equivalent to USD 378 million. Concerning to achievement, the Company has
appointed CTCI Overseas Corporation Limited and CTCI (Thailand) Company
Limited to be contractors of the PQI under fixed price, date certain, and
performance guaranteed arrangement. The mechanical parts of the Project
including three major units and its equipments - Vacuum Distillation Unit
(VDU), Hydrogen Plant Unit (HPU), and Hydro-cracking Unit (HCU) has been
completed. On April 25, 2009, the Project has been achieved the Major
Provisional Acceptance conforming the major condition under term loan agreement.
However, on May 21, 2009, the Company shut down Hydro-cracking Unit for
repairing its automatic control valves which were damaged during final test
run process. Yet, the project remains under responsibility of the contractor;
plus, the damage is well covered by Construction All Risks insurance as well
as the Delay in Start up insurance. Presently, the repair work had reached
its completion, and the PQI is under the commissioning process. The Company
expects to conduct the final performance test run within November 2009 that
the EPC contractor must comply in accordance with the contract agreement to
unburden itself and deliver the project back to the Company.
4.2 Foreign Exchange
Another factor which may have impact on the Company's performance is the
foreign exchange volatility (mostly Baht/USD). The Company pays for the
feedstock in US dollar term and sells its product on US dollar-linked basis,
and subsequently records transactions as trade payable and trade receivable
respectively. Since the Company's assets are greater than liabilities', the
appreciation of Thai Baht will cause the shrink in net assets value, Baht
margin value, and vise versa. However, being aware of that risk, the Company
has been managing to mitigate the risk by utilizing some market financial
instrument. In addition, as completion of the loan refinancing on July 2,
2008, the Company has performed Cross Currency Swap (CCS) from Thai baht loan
to Dollar link amounted USD 200 million following the policy to leverage the
differences of US dollar liabilities balancing with revenue (natural Hedge) to
protect the business from impact of the exchange rate fluctuations. Therefore,
when the Baht depreciates, the Company will record loss from exchange rate and
realize the increase revenue in the term of baht. But in the other hand,
when the Baht appreciates, the revenue in the term of baht will be reduced
however the Company will realize gain from the exchange rate. The referred CCS
contracts affected from January 5, 2009 to September 30, 2013.
4.3 Gross Refining Margin Hedging (GRM Hedging)
Although the Company has fully adopted PQI project to add long term
business value, the oil price is likely to continually fluctuate according to
fundamental factors both demand and supply as well as speculating, which
directly affects gross refining margin. Being realized such risk, the
Price Risk Management Committee (PRMC) consisted of high-level executives and
related divisions was set up in 2006. PRMC is responsible in officiate
prescribed hedging policy and objective as well as closely monitor the oil
price market situation to minimize impact on business operations by utilizing
some hedging instruments to determine the appropriate and level satisfied
margin between product and crude in advance and/or inventory price management.
As of September 30, 2009, the Company has outstanding hedging forward
contracts of 5.03 million barrel, for the period of October 2009 to December
2010.
5. Environmental Management Accounting (EMA)
Having the environmental concerns and social responsibilities, since 2005,
the Company has prepared the environmental management accounting report
(production line) and also published in the Sustainability Report. The
environmental cost accounting helps the Company to keep track the related
information, which is useful for enhancing the environmental management
effectiveness, and resource utilization.
The Environmental Management Accounting for the third quarter
(Unit : Million Baht) 3rd Quarter 3rd Quarter Change
2009 2008 +/-
Material Costs of Product Outputs 18,022 28,463 -10,441
: Consist of crude oil, ethanol,
bio-diesel, chemical, energy and
utilities in production
Material Costs of Non-Product Outputs 23 3 +20
: Consist of slop and sludge oil,
waste water, chemical surplus
Waste and Emission Control Costs 26 23 +3
: Consist of maintenance cost of
environmental control equipments
and depreciation and other fees
Prevention and Other Environmental 2 1 +1
Management Costs
: Consist of monitoring and
measurement cost, environmental
management system expenses
Benefit from by-product and waste -1 -4 +3
recycling
: The revenue realization from liquid
sulfur, glycerin, waste paper
The above table shows that total expense in the third quarter of this year was
lower than the third quarter of last year caused by the material costs of
product outputs. Despite the increase of refining production in the third
quarter of this year was higher than that of the same period of last year by
7.4 KBD, the average crude mix price for intake of this period was lower than
that of the same period of last year by Baht 9.98 per litre. The material
costs of non-product outputs increased by Baht 20 million or 6.7 times, mainly
came from higher volume of the slop oil which had to rerun into the refining
process since PQI is still commissioning. Waste and emission control costs
increased by Baht 3 million or by 13.0% from the third quarter of last year
due to higher chemical usage for waste water treatment according to higher
production. For the prevention and other environmental management costs
increased by Baht 1 million or 100% since the Company has placed an emphasis
upon precaution by increasing frequency on the inspection of environmental
quality.