ข่าวแจ้งตลาดหลักทรัพย์
) MD&A for Business Operations for the year ended 2008
5. Factors and major influences that may affect the Company's performance or
financial status in the future
Product Quality Improvement Project (PQI)
Major factors that affected the performance were the marketing margin and
gross refining margin. For the marketing margin, as the oil prices has
fluctuated, the retail oil price could be adjusted at a slower rate than its
actual cost. For the refining margin, given that a simple refinery having a
high proportion of fuel oil production of which the price is always lower than
crude price, the Company's gross refining margin was capped to a certain level
depending on the fuel oil price. Thus, the Company has to attain the long-term
resolution for converting fuel oil production to more value added product to
enhance gross refining margin to be at the same level of the industry's.
Therefore, the Company has adopted the Product Quality Improvement project
(PQI) by installing the hydro-cracking unit as well as other associated units;
these will reduce proportion of fuel oil production to the near level of other
local and foreign refineries, and hence become a complex refinery. The Company
expects that the project will be started up in the first quarter of 2009 and
will consequently result increasing in EBITDA from average Baht 2,000-4,000
million per year to approximately Baht 6,000-8,000 million after its
completion which is subjected to oil price. The project cost (included
contingency reserve) is the total of Baht 15,369 million or equivalent to USD
378 million. Concerning to achievement, the Company has appointed CTCI
Overseas Corporation Limited and CTCI (Thailand) Co., Ltd. to be contractors
of the PQI under fixed price, date certain, and performance guaranteed
arrangement. The Company had achieved its financial closure for the project's
sources of funds since May 16, 2006. Currently, mechanical works has been
completed and the project is under the process of commissioning and testing
three major units and equipments - Vacuum Distillation Unit (VDU), Hydrogen
Plant Unit (HPU), and Hydro-cracking Unit (HCU). The Company expects the
project to finish performing the commissioning and fully commercialized by
March 2009.
Foreign Exchange
Another factor which may have impact on the Company's performance is the
foreign exchange volatility (mostly Baht/USD). The Company pays for the
feedstock in US dollar term and sells its product on US dollar-linked basis,
and subsequently records transactions as trade payable and trade receivable
respectively. Since the Company's assets are greater than liabilities', the
appreciation of Thai Baht will cause the shrink in net assets, Baht margin,
and vise versa. However, being aware of that risk, the Company has been
managing to mitigate this kind of risk by utilizing some market financial
instrument. In addition, as completion of the loan refinancing on July 2,
2008, the Company has performed Cross Currency Swap (CCS) amounted USD 200
million following the policy to level the differences of US dollar assets and
liabilities balancing with revenue (natural Hedge). In the mean time, the new
loan contract can be attained more financial ability and flexibility to manage
the risk from foreign exchange.
Loan Refinancing.
On July 2, 2008, the Company has successfully reached the refinancing of
23,734 Million Baht with four local and two international banks. The
refinancing comprises of the long-term loan of Baht 16,500 Million covering
refinancing the previous KTB and PQI loans, funding for EURO IV and other
energy related projects, as well as the short-term loan facility of Baht 7,234
Million as a normal working capital. Following the refinance, the Company has
to pay the prepayment and cancellation fee for the total of Baht 174 Million
which was realized as an expense in this quarter. In addition, the fee for
obtaining refinance of Baht 128 Million was accounted as amortizing expense on
the Company's Balance Sheet replacing the existing amortizing fee of Baht 68
million of the refinanced loan. Yet, there are several benefits from the
refinancing shown as follows:
1. The increase of the Company's financial capability for future
investment on top of raising flexibility for normal operation due to the
repayment schedule has been extended from 7 to 9 years with back-ended profile
repayment to make lower repayment amount during the next 5 years.
2. The Company's financial risk management capability has been
significantly improved in view of the fact that the THBFIX allows the Company
to perform both Interest Rate Swap and Cross Currency Swap at appropriated
rates.
3. As the basis of unsecured loan along with appropriated terms and
conditions, the Company has more financial flexibility to support any future
investment or any additional funding to broaden business opportunities.
Diesel Price Discount
The resolutions of the Board of Directors meeting No.6/2008, held on May 29,
2008, approved the granting the diesel price discount to 3 specific groups:
public transportation, fishery, and farmers, to alleviate their suffer from
the high oil price and to maintain domestic consumptions, which will benefit
the Company's long term production, in the rate of no more than 3 Baht per
liter within 6 months (June-November 2008) with the capped amount of Baht 261
million. However, in case that the Company suffers loses or is in default of
its debt payment obligation and/or in breach of contract with the creditors
under the loan agreements, debentures, or debt instruments at any time within
the 6- month period, the Company preserves to discontinue this alleviation
program. Though, this subsidy program was expired in November 2008, the
Company granted the discount for the total amount of Baht 10 million.