ข่าวแจ้งตลาดหลักทรัพย์
) MD&A December 31, 2007
Net Profit Margin % 1.9 0.2
Return on Equity % 8.8 1.2
Efficiency Ratios
Return on Total Assets % 4.3 0.5
Assets Turnover Time 2.3 2.6
Financial Policy Ratios
Debt to Equity 1/ Time 0.5 0.7
Remark: Calculation from consolidated financial statements
1/ Calculation from Interest Bearing Debt
For the year 2007 the Company has made net profit of Baht 1,764 million,
higher than last year which was at Baht 195 million, as it makes improvement
of profitability ratio and efficiency ratio. Debt to equity ratio was improved
as well since equity value was increasing. However, the current ratio and
quick ratio were a bit deteriorated due to cash used for progress payment
under PQI contracts.
6. Factors and major influences that may affect the Company's performance or
financial status in the future
Major factors affected the performance were the marketing margin and
gross refining margin. For the marketing margin, since the oil prices were
rapidly increased especially after the floating of gasoline and diesel price,
the retail price could increase at a slower rate than the cost increased which
depressed the marketing margin to be at a low level and this incident would
slow down the demand for oil consumption; in other hand, if the oil prices
were decreased, the marketing margin and oil consumption would increase as
well. For the refining margin, as a simple refinery having a high proportion
of fuel oil production and the fact that fuel oil price is always lower than
crude price, the Company's gross refining margin was capped to a certain level
depending on the fuel oil price for each period. Thus the Company has had
necessity to attain the long-term resolution for reducing fuel oil production
to enhance gross refining margin to be at the same level of the industry's.
Therefore, the Company has adopted the Product Quality Improvement project
(PQI) by installing the hydro-cracking unit and other associated units, which
will reduce production of fuel oil to the near level of other local and
foreign refineries and hence become a complex refinery. The Company expects
that the project will increase EBITDA from average Baht 2,000-4,000 million to
approximately Baht 6,000 - 8,000 million after the project reach its
completion subject to oil price at the period. Currently PQI project has
started its construction, which total project cost (included contingency
reserve) totaling Baht 15,369 million or equivalent to USD 378 million. The
Company has appointed CTCI Overseas Corporation Limited and CTCI (Thailand)
Co., Ltd. to be contractors of the PQI under fixed price, date certain and
performance guaranteed arrangement. The Company has achieved its financial
closure for sources of funds for the project since May 16, 2006.
The project is now under construction and overall progress as of
December 2007 was 68.2% as compare to the revised plan of 65.5. The company
has discussed with the main contractor (CTCI) for preparation of risk
management plans. However, as major equipments/machineries which required
special attention due to specific design as well as materials and require
longer time for fabrication collectively called Long Lead Items (LLIs) are
very important for the overall construction schedule, the company had already
identified 9 items to be under LLIs category and had preordered the LLIs since
late 2005. Currently, all 9 LLIs has been completed and already been
successfully installed. As the LLIs have been completed, the company confident
that the potential delay of other equipments/ constructions is manageable and
the construction completion is achievable within 2008.
The oil prices will still be major parameters effecting operating result
of the Company. Furthermore, another factor which may have effect on the
Company's performance is the foreign exchange fluctuation (mostly Baht and
USD). The Company purchases oil on US dollar term and sell its product on US
dollar related basis and records transactions as trade payable and trade
receivable respectively. Since the Company has assets greater than
liabilities, the appreciation of Thai Baht will cause the decrease in net
assets and vise versa. However, the Company has had the policy to leveling
differences of US dollar assets and liabilities whenever it becomes
appropriate. In the mean time, the Company has partly mitigated this risk by
utilizing some financial instruments. The Company has appointed a specific
department and from a special committee called Price Risk Management
Committee (PRMC) which consists of top management executives to keep a close
look on the situation and to give policy to perform risk management on the
matter.